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The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility" (Incerto) Paperback – Bargain Price, May 11, 2010

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left_quoteA black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was.right_quote

Product Details

    Book 2 of 5Incerto
    Print length444 pages
    LanguageEnglish
    Publication dateMay 11, 2010
    Dimensions5.15 x 1 x 7.95 inches
    ISBN-10081297381X
    ISBN-13978-0812973815
    Date First Available2021-3-11 7:47:48

    Features & Benefits

    • The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series that investigates uncertainty, probability, risk, and decision making in a world we don’t understand.
    • For Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.
    • This second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.
    • Taleb is known for his entertaining writing style and polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory.
    • The Black Swan is a landmark book that altered modern thinking and was praised by Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman among others.
    • It explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and will change the way you look at the world.

    About This Item

    Introducing the Second Edition of "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. This groundbreaking book has revolutionized modern thinking and has become a must-read for anyone interested in understanding uncertainty and probability. In "The Black Swan," Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a renowned philosopher and academic researcher, delves into the concept of unpredictable events that have a profound impact on our lives. These events, which he calls "black swans," are highly improbable but have far-reaching consequences that are often overlooked. This second edition includes a new section on robustness and fragility, providing even more insights into how we can navigate the uncertainties of the world we live in.

    Through engaging storytelling and thought-provoking analysis, Taleb challenges conventional wisdom and offers a fresh perspective on decision making under uncertainty. Praised by critics and scholars alike, "The Black Swan" has been hailed as a masterpiece and a game-changer. GQ describes Nassim Nicholas Taleb as "the most prophetic voice of all," while The Times (London) refers to the book as "a masterpiece." Daniel Kahneman, a Nobel laureate, credits the book with changing his view of how the world works. Taleb's writing style is idiosyncratically brilliant, combining elements of Stephen Colbert's wit and Michel de Montaigne's philosophical musings. In "The Black Swan," he takes readers on a journey through the follies of confirmation bias and narrative fallacy, urging us to question and challenge our assumptions. Engaging and easy to dip into, this book is a compelling exploration into the uncertainties of our world.

    Whether you are a scholar, a business professional, or simply someone seeking a fresh perspective, "The Black Swan" is a must-read. Nassim Nicholas Taleb's books have been published in thirty-three languages, and his expertise in decision making under opacity has made him a leading authority in the field. With this second edition of "The Black Swan," he continues to push the boundaries of our understanding of uncertainty and probability. Don't miss out on this thought-provoking book. Order your copy of "The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable" today and discover a new way of navigating the complexities of the world we live in..

    Have any Query?

    Customer Questions & Answers

    • Question : What is a black swan according to Taleb?
      Answer : A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was.
    • Question : What does Taleb explain in The Black Swan?
      Answer : Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, which is the concept of uncertainty, probability, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand.
    • Question : What does the second edition of The Black Swan feature?
      Answer : The second edition of The Black Swan features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.
    • Question : Is the quality of the print good?
      Answer : No, the paperback edition has poor print quality with jagged edges and inconsistent page sizes.
    • Question : What is the main focus of the book?
      Answer : The book explores the impact of rare, unpredictable events or 'black swans' on our lives and provides insights and strategies for navigating uncertainty.
    • Question : Is the writing style easy to follow?
      Answer : Yes, Taleb has an engaging and accessible writing style, making the book enjoyable to read.

    Customer Ratings

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    Nassim Nicholas Taleb Biological Sciences Editorial Review

    The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a thought-provoking and engaging book that challenges readers to think differently about the role of randomness and uncertainty in our lives. The book offers valuable insights and strategies for navigating a rapidly changing world, and is sure to be of interest to anyone looking to gain a deeper understanding of the complex systems that shape our world.

    Pros

    • Thought-provoking and fascinating
    • Engaging and accessible writing style
    • Relevant insights for navigating uncertainty and risk

    Cons

    • Repetitive at times
    • Some sections may be overly technical or dense
    • Not applicable or accessible to everyone

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    The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility" (Incerto) Paperback – Bargain Price, May 11, 2010

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