A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was.
Book 2 of 5 | Incerto |
Print length | 444 pages |
Language | English |
Publication date | May 11, 2010 |
Dimensions | 5.15 x 1 x 7.95 inches |
ISBN-10 | 081297381X |
ISBN-13 | 978-0812973815 |
Date First Available | 2021-3-11 7:47:48 |
Introducing the Second Edition of "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. This groundbreaking book has revolutionized modern thinking and has become a must-read for anyone interested in understanding uncertainty and probability. In "The Black Swan," Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a renowned philosopher and academic researcher, delves into the concept of unpredictable events that have a profound impact on our lives. These events, which he calls "black swans," are highly improbable but have far-reaching consequences that are often overlooked. This second edition includes a new section on robustness and fragility, providing even more insights into how we can navigate the uncertainties of the world we live in.
Through engaging storytelling and thought-provoking analysis, Taleb challenges conventional wisdom and offers a fresh perspective on decision making under uncertainty. Praised by critics and scholars alike, "The Black Swan" has been hailed as a masterpiece and a game-changer. GQ describes Nassim Nicholas Taleb as "the most prophetic voice of all," while The Times (London) refers to the book as "a masterpiece." Daniel Kahneman, a Nobel laureate, credits the book with changing his view of how the world works. Taleb's writing style is idiosyncratically brilliant, combining elements of Stephen Colbert's wit and Michel de Montaigne's philosophical musings. In "The Black Swan," he takes readers on a journey through the follies of confirmation bias and narrative fallacy, urging us to question and challenge our assumptions. Engaging and easy to dip into, this book is a compelling exploration into the uncertainties of our world.
Whether you are a scholar, a business professional, or simply someone seeking a fresh perspective, "The Black Swan" is a must-read. Nassim Nicholas Taleb's books have been published in thirty-three languages, and his expertise in decision making under opacity has made him a leading authority in the field. With this second edition of "The Black Swan," he continues to push the boundaries of our understanding of uncertainty and probability. Don't miss out on this thought-provoking book. Order your copy of "The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable" today and discover a new way of navigating the complexities of the world we live in..
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The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a thought-provoking and engaging book that challenges readers to think differently about the role of randomness and uncertainty in our lives. The book offers valuable insights and strategies for navigating a rapidly changing world, and is sure to be of interest to anyone looking to gain a deeper understanding of the complex systems that shape our world.
The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility" (Incerto) Paperback – Bargain Price, May 11, 2010
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